According to this New York Times article, for Hillary to have a substantial shot at the Democratic nomination, she must win Ohio and Texas.
Speaking of Ohio, in my Voters and Elections class today, we discussed at length polling methods, sampling error, and why Ohio was kind of a big deal in 2004 between Kerry and Bush.
At 1:00 PM, November 7, 2004, exit poll numbers showed 50 to 49, in favor of Kerry, with a sample size of 644.
At 3:15 PM, 51 to 49 in favor of Kerry.
At 7:30 PM, 52 to 48, in favor of Kerry, but with a sample size of 1,963.
But this was not enough to voice for certain who had won. Networks were reluctant to confirm anything, probably because of the Florida 2000 scare.
This is something to keep in mind when watching the primary results pour in, though for now, we haven't had any major polling faults.
-Rohma
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1 comment:
Rohma,
Good use of linking and markup tags.
It's interesting because I remember how cautious the networks were in 2004. Not really the case this year...in my opinion.
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